Goldman Sachs lifted its 12-month US recession probability to 25 percent, up five points from January.

Recession odds rose in prediction markets as the Iran conflict added new pressure to the United States economy.

With a war driving up energy prices, the markets will need to hope that the Fed doesn’t do so in the months ahead, because a ...

Analysts are beginning to consider the possibility of prices breaking all records if the conflict in the Middle East persists ...

The largest prediction market puts the odds of a recession at about 29%.

WASHINGTON: Public sentiment in the United States reflects growing concern over the economic impact of the ongoing conflict ...

THE IRAN WAR HAS BROUGHT the dreaded r-word— recession —back into play amid a deeply fractured global energy market. To be ...

Data from prediction market platform Kalshi shows the implied probability of the United States entering a recession this year ...

Rising geopolitical tensions across the Middle East have added to market uncertainty for a possible U.S. recession in 2026.

Economists warn that the war has increased the risk of a recession. And the longer the crisis lasts, the greater the danger ...

The U.S. economy is more resilient today to oil shocks than decades ago. But real risks still remain with Middle East ...

From energy exports to tourism, the economies of Gulf nations are at risk from a prolonged conflict in the Middle East.