Goldman Sachs lifted its 12-month US recession probability to 25 percent, up five points from January.

Moody’s Analytics model forecasts a 49% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months, the closest probability in years.

Crude oil prices would need to jump to roughly $138 a barrel amid the war on Iran and stay there for at least a few weeks to ...

According to data from Polymarket, the probability of the US entering a recession in 2026 has climbed to 36%, signalling a ...

Economists cautioned whether surging oil prices and soaring tariffs amid the ongoing Iran war could tip the United States ...

Economists warn that the war has increased the risk of a recession. And the longer the crisis lasts, the greater the danger to an economy that already looked vulnerable before the chaos in the Middle ...

Oil supply is getting disrupted, costs are rising, and growth is slowing. So is the world now facing a recession risk as the ...

War in the Middle East is pushing the UK towards recession, it has been claimed. Experts fear opportunistic and rampant profiteering at petrol pumps is a direct result of the deepening chaos and will ...

Recession odds rose in prediction markets as the Iran conflict added new pressure to the United States economy.

The U.S. economy has several trends that could push the country into recession. Read why jobs, oil prices, and private credit stress may impact market sentiment.

Before war erupted in the Middle East three weeks ago, there were already warning signs building in the global economy.

One analyst warned that a recession is “once again a serious threat” as oil prices continue to rise.